I wrote about 20,000 words over at Amazin’ Avenue about the Mets prospects I saw this season, so I wasn’t going to do a proper Mets prospect list. Now I am. People like lists. We’ll be brief.
If I’ve written about the prospect in question at AA, the link is in their name.
30. Champ Stuart, OF
If he figures out how to hit .250, will have a major league career with the speed/defense in CF. Has an idea what he is doing up there too, even if the swing won’t cooperate at this point in time.
29. Wilfredo Tovar, SS
28. Ivan Wilson, OF
Had a lousy GCL season, but I can’t help but be intrigued. Tough to rank higher without seeing him live, but I might be too low.
27. Chris Flexen, RHP
26. Aderlin Rodriguez, 1b/3b
Two prospects with very little in common.
25. Jared King, OF
Voted most likely to have a Plawecki-type breakout in 2014. Could be 10-15 spots higher on the 2015 list easily. Also might end up a tweener, but them’s the breaks.
24. Logan Verrett, RHP
I hate comps: Poor man’s Luke Gregerson?
23. Jeff Walters, RHP
I think he needs to grow a mustache to complete the transformation from org dude starter to major league reliever. Maybe the Robb Nen?
22. Wuilmer Becerra, OF
I hope he works out, if only so all of Canada gets pissed at #Mort again three years from now when he writes a positive report on him.
21. Robert Gsellman, RHP
20. Casey Meisner, RHP
If I’m going to miss badly on two guys on this list, it’s probably these two. Don’t care.
19. Vic Black, RHP
Not bad for one month of Marlon Byrd, though that glove tap during his motion will probably drive me insane.
18. Cory Mazzoni, RHP
Needs to stop getting hurt every time I am supposed to catch him. Reports this year were more promising, and he started to miss bats, but didn’t do much to move the needle on that reliever projection.
17. Domingo Tapia, RHP
I want to believe.
16. Luis Cessa, RHP
Okay, maybe this is the guy I will miss the worst on. Still don’t care.
15. Amed German Rosario, SS
14. Gavin Cecchini, SS
I’ve said (written) my piece on these two. Hope they outperform my projections. Also hope they look like they will next time I see them. It’s a process for everybody.
13. Jacob deGrom, RHP
Not thrilled that they switched him to a curve. It’s quite short at the moment, if more consistent overall than the slider. Holding steady, basically.
12. Kevin Plawecki, C
I am guessing most will have Plawecki in their top ten. That’s fine. Not a huge spread between 7-13 on my list anyway. I do think the arm will always be a limiting factor, and Mets fans probably think he will walk in the majors more than he will. Perfectly cromulent prospect though.
11. Michael Fulmer, RHP
A lost season for Fulmer, but there is still an argument for keeping him in the Top 10. His stuff is better than Ynoa’s, and he’s younger than Matz, but those injuries aren’t going to make that nagging voice that says he’s a reliever go away anytime soon.
10. Gabriel Ynoa, RHP
9. Steven Matz, LHP
I have my misgvings about Matz’s ultimate projection, but I don’t see how you can keep a lefty that touches 95 out of the top 10 in this system. I like Ynoa more than anybody else, and your guys are going to be your guys. The slider will have to get better, but he’s already got feel for the change, and the arm slot tweak should help. I trust that the stuff will get there.
8. Dilson Herrera, 2b
7. Brandon Nimmo, OF
Potential league-average regulars that are further away than our three through five troika. Nimmo gets the nod, because Jason Parks has seen both and prefers Nimmo. This seems reasonable to me, especially given there is still some power projection left for Nimmo. I’d have more to say here if I had paid better attention to Herrera at the Futures Game, but I was distracted by Miguel Sano’s BP. I can say this about Herrera: Also not too bad for one month of Marlon Byrd.
6. Dominic Smith, 1b
I tend to be pretty conservative with recent draftees, but a positive report from Hudson Belinsky has assuaged some of my concerns, and there is more ceiling here than with the group behind him. Still, I would feel better about Smith if he were 6’2″.
5. Cesar Puello, OF
4. Wilmer Flores, 3b/2b/1b/??
3. Rafael Montero, RHP
3-5 is a clear tier. Three youngish, close-to-major-league-ready prospects without a huge ceiling. All would be 5s (league-average regulars) for me. You could make the case for Puello over Flores since Puello is at least a good rightfielder. You could make the case for either over Montero if you don’t trust his frame/stuff to hold up over a 180-inning, major league workload.
2. Travis d’Arnaud, C
1. Noah Syndergaard, RHP
The obvious top two. We do need to stop with the “Noah Syndergaard shouldn’t be traded for anyone because he’s a guaranteed ace” talk though. I see him as more a #2/#3 with potential for more, so he’s very much in the same place Zack Wheeler was coming into 2013, or if you prefer, Matt Harvey coming into 2012. d’Arnaud will be fine if he’s healthy, but I don’t see much more than an above-average backstop here, which I am happy to sign up for today. I’ll take the free six months of Entertainment Weekly too, why not?